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| = Exercise 1: The Gumbel Distribution = | | = Exercise 1: The Gumbel Distribution = |
| | | Let's go back to the end of Lecture 1. |
| In the spirit of the central limit theorem, you look for a scaling form: | | In the Gaussian case, expand <math>A(E)</math> around <math>a_M</math>: |
| | | <center> <math>Q_M(E) \sim \exp\left(-M P(E)\right) \sim \exp\left(-M e^{A(a_M) +A'(a_M)\cdot (E-a_M)}\right) </math> </center> |
| <center><math> E_{\min} = a_M + b_M z </math></center>
| | Show that by setting |
| | | <center> <math>a_M = E_{\min}^{\text{typ}}=-\sigma \sqrt{2 \log M} + \ldots \quad \text{and} \quad b_M = \frac{1}{A'(a_M)}= \frac{ \sigma}{\sqrt{2 \log M}}</math> </center> |
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| The constants <math>a_M</math> and <math>b_M</math> absorb the dependence on <math>M</math>, while the random variable <math>z</math> is distributed according to a probability distribution that does not depend on <math>M</math>.
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| In the Gaussian case, expand <math>A(E)</math> around <math>a_M</math>:
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| By setting
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| <center><math> | |
| a_M = E_{\min}^{\text{typ}} = -\sigma \sqrt{2 \log M} + \ldots | |
| \qquad\text{and}\qquad | |
| b_M = \frac{1}{A'(a_M)} = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{2 \log M}} | |
| </math></center> | |
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| you find | | you find |
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| <center><math> | | <center><math> |
Revision as of 14:50, 31 August 2025
In the following exercises, we will use the notation from extreme value statistics as introduced in the course.
Exercise 1: The Gumbel Distribution
Let's go back to the end of Lecture 1.
In the Gaussian case, expand
around
:
Show that by setting
you find
Therefore, the variable
is distributed according to an M-independent distribution.
It is possible to generalize this result and classify the scaling forms into the Gumbel universality class:
- Characteristics:
- Applies when the tails of
decay faster than any power law.
- Examples: the Gaussian case discussed here or exponential distributions
.
esercizio 2: The weakest link
Exercise 3: number of states above the minimum
Definition of
:Given a realization of the random energies
, define

that is, the number of random variables lying above the minimum
but less than
. This is itself a random variable. We are interested in its mean value:
The Final goal is to show that, for large M (when the extremes are described by the Gumbel distribution), you have:
Step 1: Exact manipulations: You start from the exact expression for the probability of
states in the interval:
To compute
, you must sum over
.
Use the identity
to arrive at the form:
where
.
Step 2: the Gumbel limit So far, no approximations have been made. To proceed, we use
and its asymptotics Gumbel form:
where
.
The main contribution to the integral comes from the region near
, where
.
Compute the integral and verify that you obtain:
