TBan-I: Difference between revisions

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** Examples: the Gaussian case discussed here or exponential distributions <math>p(E) = \exp(E) \quad \text{with} \quad E \in (-\infty, 0)</math>.   
** Examples: the Gaussian case discussed here or exponential distributions <math>p(E) = \exp(E) \quad \text{with} \quad E \in (-\infty, 0)</math>.   


* '''Scaling Form:'''   
* '''Scaling Form:'''  <math> \exp(z)\,\exp(-e^{z}) </math>
<center><math> P(z) = \exp(z)\,\exp(-e^{z}) </math></center>


=esercizio 2: The weakest link=
=esercizio 2: The weakest link=

Revision as of 14:53, 31 August 2025

In the following exercises, we will use the notation from extreme value statistics as introduced in the course.

Exercise 1: The Gumbel Distribution

Let's go back to the end of Lecture 1. In the Gaussian case, expand A(E) around aM:

QM(E)exp(MP(E))exp(MeA(aM)+A(aM)(EaM))

Show that by setting

aM=Emintyp=σ2logM+andbM=1A(aM)=σ2logM

you find

exp(A(aM))=1MandQM(E)Prob(Emin>E)exp[exp(EaMbM)]


Therefore, the variable z=(EaM)/bM is distributed according to an M-independent distribution.

It is possible to generalize this result and classify the scaling forms into the Gumbel universality class:

  • Characteristics:
    • Applies when the tails of p(E) decay faster than any power law.
    • Examples: the Gaussian case discussed here or exponential distributions p(E)=exp(E)withE(,0).
  • Scaling Form: exp(z)exp(ez)

esercizio 2: The weakest link

Exercise 3: number of states above the minimum

Definition of n(x):Given a realization of the random energies E1,E2,,EM, define

n(x)=#{iEmin<Ei<Emin+x}

that is, the number of random variables lying above the minimum

Emin

but less than

Emin+x

. This is itself a random variable. We are interested in its mean value:

n(x)=k=0M1kProb[n(x)=k]

The Final goal is to show that, for large M (when the extremes are described by the Gumbel distribution), you have:

n(x)=ex/bM1

Step 1: Exact manipulations: You start from the exact expression for the probability of k states in the interval:

Prob[n(x)=k]=M(M1k)dEp(E)[P(E+x)P(E)]k[1P(E+x)]Mk1

To compute n(x), you must sum over k. Use the identity

k=0M1k(M1k)(AB)kBM1k=(AB)ddAk=0M1(M1k)(AB)kBM1k=(M1)(AB)AM2

to arrive at the form:

n(x)=M(M1)dEp(E)[P(E+x)P(E)](1P(E))M2=MdE[P(E+x)P(E)]dQM1(E)dE

where QM1(E)=[1P(E)]M1.

Step 2: the Gumbel limit So far, no approximations have been made. To proceed, we use QM1(E)QM(E) and its asymptotics Gumbel form:

dQM1(E)dEdEexp(EaMbM)exp[exp(EaMbM)]dEbM=ezeezdz

where z=(EaM)/bM.

The main contribution to the integral comes from the region near EaM, where P(E)e(EaM)/bM/M.


Compute the integral and verify that you obtain:

n(x)=(ex/bM1)dze2zez=ex/bM1