TBan-I

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Nei seguente esercizio useremo le notazioni della statistica dei valori estremi usate nel corso.

exercise 1: La distribuzione di Gumbel

esercizio 2: The weakest link

Exercise 3: number of states above the minimum

Definition of n(x):

Given a realization, n(x) is defined as the number of random variables above the minimum Emin such that their value is smaller than Emin+x. This quantity is a random variable, and we are interested in its average value:

n(x)‾=∑kkProb[n(x)=k]

The Final goal is to show that for large 'M', when the extremes are described by the Gumbel distribution :

n(x)‾=ex/bM−1

The key relation for this quantity is:

Prob[n(x)=k]=M(M−1k)∫−∞∞dEp(E)[P(E+x)−P(E)]k(1−P(E+x))M−k−1

We use the following identity to sum over k:

∑k=0M−1k(M−1k)(A−B)kBM−1−k=(A−B)ddA∑k=0M−1(M−1k)(A−B)kBM−1−k=(M−1)(A−B)AM−2

to arrive at the form:

n(x)‾=M(M−1)∫−∞∞dEp(E)[P(E+x)−P(E)](1−P(E))M−2=M∫−∞∞dE[P(E+x)−P(E)]dQM−1(E)dE